Case Studies | Foresight Finance

Real-world examples of how businesses use probabilistic modeling to make better financial decisions.

Shark Tank Bias: Why Smart Investors Pick Food Over Deep Tech

Investment Analysis · Investment · Risk Avoided

Test whether Shark Tank investors are biased when they favor food businesses over deep tech — or if the math of risk-adjusted returns justifies their choices. We modeled two $1M investment opportunities in Egypt's startup ecosystem using Monte Carlo simulation: a proven rice pudding chain (Roz bl Lbn) versus a pre-revenue robotics startup (RoboClean EG).

How Much House Can You Really Afford? A Monte Carlo Approach to Home Purchase Risk

Personal Finance · Investment & Major Purchase · Risk-Optimized

Determine the maximum affordable house price and the minimum savings cushion needed to sustain a mortgage and living expenses — even under adverse scenarios like income disruption — without running out of cash.